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Good afternoon. Safe to say we’ve had a great Saturday and your pockets should be bulging with cash. Now we move on to Sunday. Here are a couple for you.

Cronulla v Manly
NRL 5am
Bet: Cronulla 1st Half 1-8
Odds: 3.75 Bet365
Stake: 2 units

Rationale: Cronulla are clearly the better of these 2 team here. Whether Graham or Dugan play or not the Sharks look like the team to side with. Cronulla have won about half of their 1st halves this year and their points diff is marginally positive.

Manly’s results are slightly worse and with Sharks at home they should enjoy an advantage here and I’d expect them to win the 1st half  more often than not. As 3.75 is equivalent to a 26.67% chance we need just over half of Cronulla’s 1st half wins to be by 1-8 points for extra value which I think we get.

St Helens v Catalans
Challenge Cup 12:30pm
Bet: Zeb Taia 1st Tryscorer
Odds: 23 Betfair Boyle 21 Bet365 Ladbrokes Unibet
Stake: 0.1%
Rationale: Standard bet from me in recent times. He should be a 14/1 shot here and at 20/1 that’s a big difference. I know it mind not sound like a lot and at these odds you don’t realise your edge that often but if you put that probability difference into a calculator using 14/1 and 20/1 prices you get an expected ROI of 40%!

Good luck!

This Post Has 3 Comments

  1. Did this Cronulla tip win ? missed the tip ( had all notifications) so my own fault , just can’t seem to find record of half time result on line . Cheers

  2. Hi there. Just seen your tweet regarding Catalans taking the 2 and a winner at 5/1 but can’t seem to find where it was published as a tip. Any help would be grateful to make sure I don’t miss any more
    Thanks in advance

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