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After another profitable weekend, hope you are all getting on these tips, I hope to continue with this weeks selections. I am also on holiday at the moment, like Ian, but can’t resist getting involved in the rugby. So here are Thursday and Friday NRL tips, Saturday and Sunday’s to follow in a different mail. I also will be sending out my Super League selections later today or tomorrow.

Australian NRL

Brisbane Broncos v South Sydney Rabbitohs
Thursday 11:50 (BST)
Bet: Brisbane 1-10
Odds: 4.00 Ladbrokes, 3.75 888 Unibet
Stake: 2 units

Melbourne Storm v Parramatta Eels
Friday 10:50 (BST)
Bet: Melbourne Storm 1st Half 1-8
Odds: 3.75 Bet365
Stake: 2 units

Brisbane Broncos v South Sydney Rabbitohs

My reasoning for this one is pretty simple, Souths have just ran out of three quarters. Without Johnston, Inglis, Jennings and Campbell Graham I just don’t see Souths winning. The Broncos were close last week and should have definitely hung on but it just wasn’t to be. 9 of the Broncos 11 wins have come by this margin, I cant see them winning by more but consider them better value than the handicap suggests.

Melbourne Storm v Parramatta Eels

Increasing it takes me something special to touch the 1st half winning margin market this season and this is special enough at 3.75. I’ve been burnt by the Eels on this market in the past but this is the Melbourne Storm at home and even with the Eels looking like people thought they would at the start of the season, 3.75 is just too tasty a price to ignore on a home side who are 15 wins out of their last 20 in Melbourne.

I looked at full game winning margin prices in this game but the Storm prices didn’t tempt me, with the 1-10 and 11-20 both fairly likely I was hoping for at least 3.75 on either but at 3.6 I’m not a buyer. To me the Storm win this 1st half slightly more than 50% of the time and a big enough chunk of these wins are by the 1-8 margin for me to back this.

Good luck,

Chris

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