Want to get our awesome free tips & offers?
We will send you daily free tips and bet help guides
Start winning with us!

Personal data secure... Check. No data sold or shared... Check. No unnecessary crap... Check .

skip to Main Content

“Our biggest stake of the season for Saturday in what should be a cracking game. The odds are way too high for this game and I am all aboard.”

These are James’ selections for Saturday:

Match:  Bournemouth vs Man Utd
Premier League – Saturday 12:30pm
Bet: Over 2.5 match goals
Odds & Bookie: 1.8 with Betfair
Stake: 2 units

Match:  Arsenal vs Liverpool
Premier League – Saturday 5:30pm
Bet: Over 2.5 match goals  & BTS
Odds & Bookie: 1.74 with Marathon
Stake: 1 unit

Match:  Arsenal vs Liverpool
Premier League – Saturday 5:30pm
Bet: Liverpool over 1.5 team goals
Odds & Bookie: 1.67 with 888
Stake: 1.5 units

Match:  Newcastle vs Watford
Premier League – Saturday 3:00pm
Bet: Watford +0.25AH
Odds & Bookie: 1.71 with BetVictor
Stake: 1 unit

Bournemouth vs Man Utd

The Cherries have seen an average of 3.1 goals per match this season and their xG is 2.997 whereas Utd have 3.4 and an xG 3.187

Home side have FTS in just 1 home games this season with just 2 CS – Cardiff & Saints

Utd have just 1 CS all season – Burnley, whilst FTS in just 1 match all season, 3-0 at home to Spurs, where they had chances in the opening 45 mins

In last 43 home games Bournemouth have seen just 11 CS, 9 FTS and 68% go over 2.5 goals

60% of Bournemouth home games seen over 2.5 goals and 40% over 3.5 goals

Utd 80% of away games over 2.5 goals and 60% of away games

Only 6 sides conceded more SOT per game than Utd so far this season

Martial is bang in form and Wilson has a xG of 0.66 per 90 mins.

Arsenal vs Liverpool

Arsenal 2 CS and 1 FTS at home (vs Man City)  with Liverpool 2 CS ( Huddersfield & Palace) and 0 FTS

The Gunners see an average of 2.8 goals per home match and Liverpool 2.6 goals per away match.

Whilst Arsenal have only conceded 4 goals at home they have a xGA of 7.68 and Liverpool have 3 vs and xGA of 4.55

Only City have more SOT in away games than Liverpool yet only 6 sides have conceded more SOT at home than Arsenal.

BTS has landed in 60% of Liverpool away games and 70% of Arsenal games this season (100% of away games)

Arsenal have a number of key injuries in defence which should play into the hands of Liverpool. The back 4 could be Lichtsteiner, Mustafi, Holding & Xhaka!

Newcastle vs Watford

Newcastle sit 2nd bottom and winless. They also sit 2nd bottom using expected points. Its not looking good for them

They have P5 L5 at home with a xPTS of 4.11 so maybe not as bad as it 1st looks. However, their xG is just 0.74 per game and an xGA of 1.4

Only 4 sides have fewer shots at goal and only Huddersfield have fewer SOT. Although only 2 sides conceded fewer SOT

Watford – Only 2 sides concede fewer SOT in away games than the Hornets, whist registering more SOT than Utd, Bournemouth and Chelsea!

Both the actual away table and the expected away table have them 7th

With Pererya, Deulofeu & Success I think they will have enough to cause Newcastle issues. A tight game and we will make money if Watford avoid defeat.

This Post Has 0 Comments

Leave a Reply

Back To Top