Want to get our awesome free tips & offers?
We will send you daily free tips and bet help guides
Start winning with us!

Personal data secure... Check. No data sold or shared... Check. No unnecessary crap... Check .

skip to Main Content

Hi guys, struggling for time for the full write up as I am packing my bags and heading to Paris for the Ryder Cup. Rest assured that the bets have been fully researched but the write ups will be brief, but we do have 4 bets in the PL!!!

I am hoping for a European win in the golf and then these to roll in for Saturday.

Match: Wolves vs Southampton

Premier League – Saturday at 3pm

Bet: Wolves win & under 4.5 goals

Odds & Bookie: 2.05 with Coral

Stake: 1 unit

Wolves look the real deal to me. They have only lost once this season and that game was vs Leicester when they dominated the game, hit the woodwork 3 time and won the xG.

xPTS has Wolves 4th in the league with an xG of 1.475 but an xGA of just 0.73, only Man City and Liverpool have a lower xGA. Its their defensive ability which my bet is built on. They just have the ability to sit back and not look like conceding. Going forward they have players to hurt Saints. Remember this Wolves side in the last 12 months to have as many shots / SOT and xG vs Man City!

Saints have a poor defensive shot data with just 6 sides conceding more SOT than they have in away games. They have won just 4 away games in their last 22 games – vs WBA, Swansea and twice vs Palace.

I don’t see a high scoring game here and although Saints have Ings back, I believe the game will end in a low scoring win to Wolves.

Match: Chelsea vs Liverpool

Premier League – Saturday at 5:30pm

Bet: Both teams to score and over 2.5 match goals

Odds & Bookie: 1.85 with Coral

Stake: 1 unit

The best game of the weekend. Liverpool will press Chelsea all over the pitch and stifle them. We wont be seeing record amount of passes this weekend. The Reds have started the season very well and you always feel they are going to score. The front 3 are deadly and even if one has a poor game the other two will step up and play well.

We are starting to see how Sarri wants Chelsea to play – open! Which I think will play into Liverpools hands – They only play one way – attack and press.

Only Man City have more SOT away than Liverpool and only Man City have more SOT at home that Chelsea.

Chelsea xG match goals at home 3.01 and Liverpool away match xG 3.0 – Has to be goals here.

Match: Chelsea vs Liverpool

Premier League – Saturday at 5:30pm

Bet: Liverpool to score over 1.5 team goals

Odds & Bookie: 2.05 Betvictor

Stake: 1 unit

Clearly a lot of the write up above can be used here. However, I think its worth pointing out that Arsenal could have scored more than the 2 they did. West Ham should have scored last weekend. Cardiff & Newcastle did score, Huddersfield hit the post and Bournemouth although well beaten did have chances. Liverpool have score 1.5 in all but one game so far this season. Any side that average 6.67 SOT per away game has a chance of scoring 2 or more goals.

Match: Man City vs Brighton

Premier League – Saturday at 3pm

Bet: Brighton most booking points

Odds & Bookie: 1.75 Wills Hills

Stake: 1 unit

Really simple bet. City will win this match and then shut up shop with a number of big matches this week. They face a must win match in Germany in the CL midweek and then Liverpool next weekend.

Brighton concede the 2nd most fouls of any PL side in away games so far this season. Whereas City concede the 2nd fewest.

City have not received a single booking home this season – Brighton have 6 in 3 games.

Lee Mason is the ref an in the last 5 times he has taken charge of Brighton he has given them the most cards in 4 games with the other being equal.

In this fixture last season Brighton has the most booking points.

This Post Has 0 Comments

Leave a Reply

Back To Top