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The International break is now over thank god and we can look forward to some normal football again for this weekend and an extended period going forward. Here are my Premier League bets for Saturday.

Match: Bournemouth vs Southampton
Premier League – Saturday 3pm
Bet: Over 2.5 match goals
Odds & Bookie: 1.85 at Wills Hill
Stake: 1 unit

The cherries score an average of 2.5 goals per home game and concede 1.25

100% of games this season over 1.5 and 75% of home games over 2.5 and 50% over 3.5

Saints seen 100% away games over 1.5 and 50% over 2.5

Home side 4th best home xG in league whilst the Saints have the 6th best away xG

Just 4 CS between them in 16 games this season. Last season cherries just 3 CS at home and 68% of games over 2.5 goals.

Match: Wolves vs Watford
Premier League – Saturday 3pm
Bet: Wolves win
Odds & Bookie: 1.8 at Coral
Stake: 1 unit

Wolves have only lost 1 game and that was to Leicester when they were the best side and won the xG.

Defensively sound and have the 3rd best xGA in league behind City & Liverpool.

XPTS would see Watford sit 12th so on that basis you have Wolves sitting 6th and for me, these odds for a 6th place side vs mid table with Wolves defensive record looks a good bet.

Match: Newcastle vs Brighton
Premier League – Saturday 3pm
Bet: Newcastle -0.25AH
Odds & Bookie: 2.03 at Blacktype
Stake: 1 unit

I think Newcastle been a little unlucky. Had a tough fixture list and now they have an opportunity to win at home against a side that doesn’t travel well.

The visitors had the worst away record in the league last season with just 2 wins and just 10 goals scored.

This is a game that Rafa will have looked at and earmarked 3 points.

I see a tight game but I think Newcastle will edge it.

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