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A tricky card from the PL this week but we have still managed to find three games that have appeal. A battle between two managers under real pressure, a big derby in London and can the Cherries upset the apple cart in Manchester?

Match: Southampton vs Man Utd
Premier League – Saturday 5:30
Bet: Utd to win
Odds & Bookie: 2.0 at Unibet, SpreadEx & Sports Pesa
Stake: 1 units

Yes, I am aware Utd are in awful form, but so are Saints and Hughes is on the on verge of being sacked here. They have won just 8 of the last 50 PL games and just once this season, failing to score in 3 home games and 6 overall. Danny Ings is also a doubt here for the Saints as well.

Utd although they have lost to Brighton and West Ham I am not sure Saints will be the same kind of place to visit. In fact I think the Saints fans may sacrifice a big defeat here if it ends Hughes’ time. A decent result at Chelsea and wins at Bournemouth, Watford and Burnley actually means Utd have the 6th best away record in the league. Whilst I normally think Utd are a very skinny price to win games, I actually think too much has been made of their indifferent form and now their odds are overpriced. They have lost just once in their last 6 but have played poorly.

Match: Arsenal vs Spurs
Premier League – Sunday 2.05pm
Bet: BTS & Over 2.5 goals
Odds & Bookie: 1.8 at Skybet
Stake: 1 units

Spurs average 1.88 away goals per game. Arsenal 1.71 per home game. Spurs have scored in every away game this season, whilst Arsenal have FTS just once at home so far and that was the opening game vs Man City. Since then they have looked good going forward. I know the Gunners have only conceded 6 home games this season but the xGA suggests they should have conceded at least another 5.

In away games Spurs have conceded more SOT than Huddersfield. Can they continue this against an attack like Arsenal and not conceded? I doubt it. I think Spurs will win this game and wouldn’t be surprised to see a 2-1 score line.

Match: Man City vs Bournemouth
Premier League – Saturday 3pm
Bet: City over 1.5 2nd half goals
Odds & Bookie: 1.7 with Betstars
Stake: 1 units

City have scored 19 goals in the 2nd half at home in 7 games, that’s 2.71 per 2nd half per game! Bournemouth on the other hand have conceded 11 goals in the 2nd half of away games, but 61% of their total away goals conceded come after the half time oranges. In 7 of 12 away games to the top 6 sides the Cherries have conceded at least 3 goals.

Bournemouth concede on average in the 54th minute of away matches. When they played Chelsea away it took until the 74th min for the home side to score before running out 2-0 winners. Burnley also got 2nd half goals when then they won 4-0

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