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Here are the tips you have all been waiting for. James is rolling at a ROI of 24.62% for the PL tips this season, something which he is very proud of. It’s a tough card this week but he’s found these games from across the weekend.

Match: Palace vs Newcastle

Premier League – 3pm Saturday

Bet: Over 2, 2.5 (2.25 Goal Line)

Odds & Bookie: 1.889 with BetVictor

Stake: 1 unit

If it’s not broken don’t fix it. I have back Palace a number of times this season and we are going back in.

Zaha is on form for Palace and that always means goals will follow. Palace are yet to score at home, but they have played Liverpool and then Saints (more on this match in a bit) at home but the match xG is sat at 3.83, with the actual at 2 goals per game.

The Saints game was one that we backed over 2.5 but the xG in that game showed it was the right bet, even though the game ended 2-0. The match xG was 4.45 that day. Hardly a game that lacked chances, plus a missed penalty.

Given that Palace have played Liverpool and defensively minded Huddersfield they are still averaging 4.4 SOT per game.

Looking at the Palace home results under Roy we can see that 15 of 19 games have gone over 1.5 match goals and 58% of gone over 2.5 goals. Just 4 CS and 5 FTS under the current manager at home. The 5 FTS have been Liverpool, City (where they missed a pen) Spurs (No Zaha) and Saints twice (the first time around Roy had been in charge for a matter of days)

Rafa and Newcastle have a reputation of being boring and defensive, however we only see them do this against the bigger sides and with Palace they will see it as a game that they need to win. Against middle 3rd sides away we have seen Newcastle matches go over 2.5 in 63% of games. They have kept CS in away games under Rafa in just 15% of away games. In their last 6 PL games 5 have gone over 2.5 goals. I am expecting Shelvey, Rondon and Kennedy to come back in for the Toon and feel they can at least get a goal here.

Match: Leicester vs Huddersfield

Premier League – 3pm Saturday

Bet: Leicester -0.5,-1 (-0.75AH)

Odds & Bookie: 1.81 with BetVictor

Stake: 1 unit

Huddersfield are awful. Fewest shots taken in the league, fewest SOT in the league. Away from home they have seen just 7 attempts on goal with just 2 of them being on target.

The Foxes when playing bottom half sides at home in the last 21 games have won 15, losing just 2. Whilst the Terriers have P21 away games in the PL now and won just the last win being 8 games ago against now relegated WBA and that’s their only win in 12 PL away games. Yes, they got a point at Everton, but I havent seen a poor as performance by Everton for some time and they followed that up with a 3-1 defeat to West Ham.

The Foxes will have Vardy, Maddison, Gray and Ghezzal in the side and I believe that will be too much for Huddersfield. Leciester have only conceded 7 SOT at home, a record that only Liverpool and Man City can better – considering they have played Liverpool at home that’s not a bad record. I think a defeat here at Puel could be under pressure.

Given the opposing shot data for these two sides I can see the Foxes winning this game 1-0 or 2-0. Hopefully 2-0 for us as it will be a full win.

Match: West Ham vs Chelsea

Premier League – 13:30pm Sunday

Bet: Over 2.5 goals and Both teams to score

Odds & Bookie: 2.0 with Skybet

Stake: 1 unit

A game that I think will have everything.

West Ham this season have been awful defensively and have conceded in every game, with 2.5 goals landing in 5 of their 6 games. They only game they failed to score in was the Wolves defeat where they had plenty of chances to score – ending that game with 13 attempts on goal, 3 SOT and an xG of 0.89.

Their match xG is 3.006 with their actual match goals at 3.2 which goes to show that they are playing to expected outcome. Only two sides concede more shots at goal and SOT than the Hammers, so Chelsea will have chances to score.

Chelsea have seen overs land in 4 of their 6 – they only two which failed was the 2-0 home win over Bournemouth where the Cherries were unlucky not to score and Chelsea should have scored again, with the Cherries having a xG of 0.96. The other game was the 2-0 loss to City on the opening game of the season. So far Cardiff, Newcastle, City and Arsenal all scored passed them – Arsenal could have had more than 2 goal, Huddersfield didn’t score but hit the bar and were a little unlucky. The Blues have an xGA of 0.92.

Hazard has been in great form this season and will cause a poor Hammers defence issues, but Chelsea for me, don’t really have a defensively minded holding player. Kante is being encouraged to get forward in a box to box role. Jorginho is a passer of the ball and will not wont to do that role. Kovacic could be that player, but seems to be getting up to speed of the PL and hasn’t lasted 90 mins as yet.

West Ham were excellent going forward and I can see them getting on the score sheet here. I am not a massive believer of the H2H records, but West Ham always raise their game for this fixture and 4/5 have seen BTS. Any side that has David Luiz play in the heart of defence will give away chances.

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