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Paris here I come. No time for a full write up due to my travels to France to watch the Ryder Cup, but here are the best bets.

Match: Macclesfield vs Forest Green

League 2 – Saturday at 3pm

Bet: Forest Green -0.25AH

Odds & Bookie: 1.74 with Marathon Bet

Stake: 1 unit

My rankings have Macclesfield as the one of the worst home sides in the league with just 3 sides performing worse than them. One of the fewest SOT taken and no side concedes more SOT at home than they do. xGA of 1.65

Forest Green best home xG in the league with 1,83 and just 1.35 xGA and just 2.25 SOT conceded, the best in the league. They have 4th highest SOT at home in the league.

Match: Brentford vs Reading

League 2 – Saturday at 3pm

Bet: Brentford -1AH

Odds & Bookie: 1.78 with BetVictor

Stake: 1 unit

Brentford are far too good for a poor Reading side. xG of 1.7 and xGA of 0.8. Probably the best performing team in the division at home. I have them top of the league on xPTS and Reading 12th.

Only Sheff Wed conceded more SOT than Reading in away matches, with 6.25. Brentford average 8.75 SOT at home. I can only see goals for the home side.

Match: Burton vs Scunthorpe

League 1 – Saturday at 3pm

Bet: Over 2.5 goals

Odds & Bookie: 1.95 with 888

Stake: 1 unit

xG match goals for home Burton games is 3.1 and the actual is 2.5. They have scored in all but 1 game this season and in all home games. They kept 2 CS in 8 games, both of which came at home. Last 3 home games have seen over 2.5 goals and 2/3 BTS.

Scunny xG match goals 3.03 and actual 3.25. 0 CS in away matches and just 1 FTS. Only 1 side concedes more SOT and only 2 sides have a worst xGA.

Match: Cheltenham vs Lincoln

League 2 – Saturday at 3pm

Bet: Lincoln -0.25AH

Odds & Bookie: 1.71 with BetVictor

Stake: 1 unit

My ranking have Lincoln as the 3rd best away team and Cheltenham the 3rd worst home side. This bet is more about how poor the home side is.

Cheltenham for xG, xGA, xRatio, SOT for and against, goal scored and conceded I have them no higher in any metric than 18 and majority in the bottom 4.

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