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Good morning, August is turning out to be a great month of betting! For a £10 flat stake you will already be up over £100 for the month. Lets see if my 3 extra football league bets can increase this today.

Championship – Saturday 3pm
QPR vs Wigan
Bet: Wigan 0.0AH (DNB)
Odds & Bookie: 1.72 with BetVictor
Stake: 1.5 unit

League 1 – Saturday 3pm
AFC Wimbledon vs Sunderland
Bet: Sunderland -0.25AH
Odds & Bookie: 1.92 with MarathBet365
Stake: 1.5 units

League 1 – Saturday 3pm
Rochdale vs Walsall
Bet: Walsall +0.5AH
Odds & Bookie: 1.83 with Winner
Stake: 1 unit

QPR vs Wigan

QPR are in real problems. Bottom of the table, zero points and look incapable of winning a match.
3rd highest SOT on target conceded, 12 goals conceded. My model as an xG at home of just 0.62 – Its bad at both ends. To make matters worse I don’t think McClaren knows his best side or how to stop the alarming rate there are conceding goals and losing matches. Whilst there may be a rallying of the troops here I don’t see Wigan losing this match.

Wigan will probably name an unchanged side and have some decent results so far this season. They were unlucky to lose to Villa, held big spending Forest and beat Stoke midweek.
Only 4 sides have had more SOT than Wigan this season, my model has them with an away xG of 1.2. They will be full of confidence having beaten pre-season favourites Stoke midweek.

AFC Wimbledon vs Sunderland

Sunderland were the side that everyone was undecided about at the start of the season. How would the club deal with their relegation and could the new look side complete with league 1 football. Although its early days a few questions are starting to be answered.

They are averaging 2.5 goals scored per game and Josh Maja is in great form scoring 4 in his last 4 games.  Although they havent played any of the better sides yet, the 4 games they have played all currently sit in the middle third of the division. Their only dropped points this season was away to Luton where they won the shot, SOT count and had more possession. Luton scored with their only SOT in the game.

Wimbledon have won just once this season, in the opening game where they beat Fleetwood. Since then they have struggled for goals which wasn’t help with the loss of Lyle Taylor. Although their shot data is good they have only scored from 3% of their shots at goal and just 10% of their SOT.

I am happy that should the game surprise me and be low scoring then if it does end a draw we will get half our stake back, but I see a win for the black cats with a couple of goals.

Rochdale vs Walsall

This looks big to me. Odds of 1.75 for Walsall to avoid defeat is something I want to get involved with. Walsall are yet to taste defeat this season, scoring 1.5 in 3/4 of their game and look like a decent side. Their shot data isn’t going to make great reading which suggests that they will not keep this level of performance up, but I am prepared to believe they will have too much for Dale who’s fans are starting to turn on manager Keith Hill.

Rochdale have conceded 4 in both their home games so far this season and are yet to keep a CS. Last season their home record was poor. If you exclude the 4 relegated clubs no side had a worse home record then them. With the home crowd on the back of the players and manager I can see Walsall avoiding defeat which will bring us profit.

Good luck,

James.

This Post Has One Comment

  1. These guys are Pros. I was with them before the site was started. Always well researched bets and usually a couple days in advance to get the best value.

    A++

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